Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.013042 1.224183 1.447980 1.701010 1.977391 2.268521 2.596808
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.714904 0.999919 1.324825 1.714616 2.162322 2.654147 3.229285
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.519471 0.824620 1.193839 1.656898 2.207703 2.829706 3.573803
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.375040 0.684355 1.082613 1.603921 2.244056 2.984461 3.887253
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.277501 0.584063 1.003254 1.573414 2.292722 3.141158 4.191450
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.221472 0.531159 0.977282 1.603190 2.409522 3.374678 4.582783
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.171429 0.476418 0.940921 1.613190 2.496880 3.569309 4.925473
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.122240 0.410660 0.880377 1.584320 2.529957 3.694277 5.182210
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.108767 0.406926 0.910237 1.677929 2.720213 4.012454 5.672089
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.098070 0.406155 0.943396 1.775532 2.915619 4.337417 6.171063
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.090845 0.411005 0.984709 1.884469 3.126170 4.681864 6.694757
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.082109 0.410384 1.016271 1.979061 3.317769 5.002988 7.190760
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.062953 0.382348 1.004903 2.017393 3.443624 5.253647 7.616757
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043257 0.344326 0.973114 2.024304 3.527412 5.452624 7.982098
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022681 0.287451 0.900162 1.963712 3.514750 5.525010 8.187561
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009502 0.237463 0.831641 1.904316 3.499783 5.591667 8.383856
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003108 0.201172 0.782919 1.871041 3.517330 5.697091 8.625463
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001093 0.186241 0.775982 1.903746 3.627718 5.923684 9.019962
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.167106 0.756903 1.914817 3.706147 6.107760 9.360543
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.139756 0.713949 1.882970 3.720606 6.205983 9.591238
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.144825 0.749730 1.986099 3.932871 6.568256 10.159925
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.150712 0.787724 2.093375 4.151714 6.939947 10.741510
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.159208 0.832542 2.212841 4.388994 7.336919 11.356296